nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 29, 2023 9:40:51 GMT -5
I’d love a 23 year old Anthony for Brogdon but I doubt they can pull that off.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 28, 2023 22:02:57 GMT -5
Hire Mike McDaniel
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 28, 2023 12:46:18 GMT -5
Okay, enough is enough - time to win bosoxnation his money! Seriously it’s stressing me out.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 26, 2023 13:23:05 GMT -5
I wonder if Ohtani’s contract structure will look like a base of $25-$30M for him as a hitter, with tiered vesting bonuses for 50, 100, 125, and 150 IP (maybe $5M each) to get him in the $40-50M AAV range. I’m not sure what else makes sense risk wise This has been my guess for a while, even before the injury, but I think the base salary is probably higher and the bonuses a little smaller. Youre probably right but it’s hard to justify a giant AAV for a DH. On the flip side he could probably convert to RF if he ever had to give up on pitching since he’s fast and has a cannon.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 26, 2023 11:39:14 GMT -5
I wonder if Ohtani’s contract structure will look like a base of $25-$30M for him as a hitter, with tiered vesting bonuses for 50, 100, 125, and 150 IP (maybe $5M each) to get him in the $40-50M AAV range. I’m not sure what else makes sense risk wise
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 25, 2023 12:49:03 GMT -5
William Contreras actually had a higher fWAR than Murphy this year and isn’t a free agent until 2028 so the Braves didn’t necessarily win the Murphy trade. Contreras would have been Boston’s best player by a good margin this season, so if the rumors were true that Casas or Mayer was the asking price for Murphy, I wouldn’t have wanted to pay that either. The puzzling part of that trade is how Oakland barely added any upside to their farm and instead let the Brewers walk away with the W. They’re such a joke.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 23, 2023 19:18:25 GMT -5
It would be really cool to have Breslow in the fold. Even when he was bad he was an easy guy to respect.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 23, 2023 9:37:26 GMT -5
Wow Rafaela’s defensive metrics are pretty terrible so far
And yes obviously it’s a small sample, but UZR hates him and he’s at -1 DRS in CF.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 22, 2023 15:16:00 GMT -5
Red Sox participants: Nathan Hickey Brainer Bonaci Corey Rosier Felix Cepeda Bryan Mata Wyatt Olds Zach Penrod Christopher Troye Hickey and Bonaci is a fun combo.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Sept 22, 2023 15:02:06 GMT -5
If by 6 you mean 10.5, then Mookie was 6.0 yes. Lol Mookie was insane that year, and that’s an absurd sentence by Kennedy. One was a DH and the other was a young superstar and the second best play on earth. If you could only keep one, then you already know/knew which one it was. What they really should be admitting is that whoever decided it was prudent to extend Sale before Mookie should be banned from the state of Massachusetts permanently. Right there with you, but I didn't create the fWAR algorithm. It's more about Sam Kennedy saying strings of words without maybe realizing that such words have actual meanings. I think you’re looking at the wrong year or something because Betts was 10.5 fWAR in ‘18
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Post by nomar on Sept 22, 2023 14:31:36 GMT -5
Is that so? Keep a 7 tool HOFer or a good hitting DH who was approaching his 32nd birthday? I mean they had to know that 10 years 300 or 320 million wasnt keeping Mookie so it was decided that JDM was the keeper? Yeesh. Right there with you, although in 2018, Mookie was a 6.0 fWAR players and JDM was 5.8 as primarily a DH, so maybe Kennedy saw them as...similar? I really don't know. All I know is he said it, which may tell us more about Kennedy, although he just seems like a very slippery person in this mold: If by 6 you mean 10.5, then Mookie was 6.0 yes. Lol Mookie was insane that year, and that’s an absurd sentence by Kennedy. One was a DH and the other was a young superstar and the second best play on earth. If you could only keep one, then you already know/knew which one it was. What they really should be admitting is that whoever decided it was prudent to extend Sale before Mookie should be banned from the state of Massachusetts permanently.
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Post by nomar on Sept 22, 2023 13:48:50 GMT -5
I already want off this ride. Lets fast forward to the end result.
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Post by nomar on Sept 21, 2023 12:37:41 GMT -5
My guess is that once they had made their decision, it was most fair to everyone to make the move. Hard to think there was an available transaction that Bloom would've considered that the ownership would've been concerned about getting out in front of, especially considering that the big knock on Bloom is that he wasn't sufficiently aggressive. Can't imagine that there's someone Bloom would've wanted to extend and ownership didn't. I definitely agree which is why it makes me think they already have their eyes on someone specific It’s impossible to know the true answer but I’m really curious to know if the White Sox would have pursued Bloom if they hadn’t made their hire the month before. Bloom seems like a really good fit for them right now tbh
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Post by nomar on Sept 21, 2023 11:20:43 GMT -5
Kim Ng is getting the media push this morning. I see Jim Duquette, who has some kind of personal connection to her, hyping her up. Looks to me like she is trying to get this job, but I haven't seen anything from our side yet. I think there was some NBC Sports Boston article too. She could be interested or at minimum knows that it gives her massive leverage in any extension she gets from Miami. I do think she’s a good candidate personally, but I doubt any rumors are coming from Boston’s side.
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Post by nomar on Sept 21, 2023 10:10:48 GMT -5
Kim Ng is getting the media push this morning.
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Post by nomar on Sept 19, 2023 20:40:48 GMT -5
Campbell with a 3-run HR to make it 7-2. 6 outs to go. That was like many of Rafaela’s HR this year where the ball carries way more than you’d think from the point of contact I’d be way more excited about him if the low K% from college translated but it hasn’t
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Post by nomar on Sept 19, 2023 14:19:42 GMT -5
Hard to predict that we’ll sign Yamamoto when every team in baseball is rumored to be interested in him.
The Hoskins and Ryu ideas from a couple of posters in this thread are interesting to me. I do think the Sox will continue to use Yoshida in LF especially at home, so I was thinking I’d want Turner back, but Hoskins could be a really nice fit here too. Ryu is hurt a lot and is already 36 but would give you good depth and won’t command a big deal. If they’re going to be over the luxury tax anyway, these are guys I think give you some upside at their projected price points. Agreed, I just wanted to pick specific names but essentially my thought is they sign one of the top tier starting pitchers (whether it's Yamamoto or Nola or Snell or Gray or whoever), and one a tier below where they think they might be able to get some extra value (or make a trade). Before Bloom got fired I was pretty confident that it would be Montgomery (because of the lack of a QO) and someone less exciting, but I can see whoever the new guy is making a bigger splash now. I think I’d prefer to stay away from Snell with his high BB% and LOB% this year, but we’ll see…
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Post by nomar on Sept 19, 2023 13:44:38 GMT -5
If it gets the Angels under the luxury tax I credit them for being bold and keeping their focus on the long term despite the tough season. And it kind of implies that ownership wants to spend after resetting the LT penalties.
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Post by nomar on Sept 19, 2023 13:34:32 GMT -5
On one hand, he’s the assistant to the person we would pretty much all consider the best Chief Baseball Officer in the sport. Ideally he’s learning from Friedman and taking after him. On the other hand, there’s probably no easier GM job in baseball than the Dodgers. Great team, great farm, crazy payroll, and genius boss. It’s almost hard to prove Gomes has actually added anything to that org. Hiring him is running the risk that he’s just riding Friedman’s coattails.
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Post by nomar on Sept 19, 2023 13:18:37 GMT -5
Hard to predict that we’ll sign Yamamoto when every team in baseball is rumored to be interested in him.
The Hoskins and Ryu ideas from a couple of posters in this thread are interesting to me. I do think the Sox will continue to use Yoshida in LF especially at home, so I was thinking I’d want Turner back, but Hoskins could be a really nice fit here too. Ryu is hurt a lot and is already 36 but would give you good depth and won’t command a big deal. If they’re going to be over the luxury tax anyway, these are guys I think give you some upside at their projected price points.
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Post by nomar on Sept 19, 2023 9:35:35 GMT -5
No but they were also kidding themselves thinking he ever had a chance of being a middle of the order bat here if that was the case. We’ll be lucky if he’s a league average bat next year IMO. At this point I would settle for a 90 wRC+ as sad as that is because we’re seeing right now how much worse it can get for him. He’s not the savior, he’s more likely going to be the contract we can’t wait to get off the books after Sale is gone. Maybe he can go off in one of his remaining years like Duvall did this year, but everything he’s done here points to the contrary. He may be able to be a valuable player with his defense if he can approach league average as a hitter as ematz noted (I'm sure he'll have some Duvall-esque stretches where he goes off as you allude to). That said, Turner and Duvall have been the impact righty bats in the 3 and 5 spots typically this year and with those two as free agents however, if Story is hitting in say the 7 hole that makes things somewhat complicated rebuilding the lineup: Verdugo/Duran/Abreu/Rafaela - take your pick, fellas Devers ______ - OF/DH Casas ______ -OF/DH Yoshida Story Pablo/Urias? Wong/McGuire? If he was Colorado Story again next year, this lineup is a lot easier to fill out. But I agree it's hard to count on that right now. Yeah I’m not saying I don’t think he’ll be an average starter. He brings a lot of defensive value and is a solid baserunner. I just don’t expect a star and see his offensive floor lower than it’s ever been.
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Post by nomar on Sept 19, 2023 9:14:10 GMT -5
Trevor Story is now through 133 AB's in his surgery plagued 2023 season. So far: . 181/.218/.299 - 31 wRC+ - 34.6% K rateThe last two years have been manifestly difficult for him between: no spring training basically in 2022 after signing late; missing time for birth of his child; getting food poisoning; getting hit in the wrist by Corey Kluber; the elbow surgery. That said, his entire slash line as a Red Sox player to this point in 128 games: .223/.282/.399 - 82 wRC+ - 31.8% K rateThe defense has been superb, including at SS now that the arm is fixed. I can't imagine he will be a Rich Man's Yu Chang again next year - but can the Sox go into next year planning to hit him in the middle of the order bat alongside Devers/Casas with his recent performance? No but they were also kidding themselves thinking he ever had a chance of being a middle of the order bat here if that was the case. We’ll be lucky if he’s a league average bat next year IMO. At this point I would settle for a 90 wRC+ as sad as that is because we’re seeing right now how much worse it can get for him. He’s not the savior, he’s more likely going to be the contract we can’t wait to get off the books after Sale is gone. Maybe he can go off in one of his remaining years like Duvall did this year, but everything he’s done here points to the contrary.
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Post by nomar on Sept 18, 2023 19:55:58 GMT -5
Bring Turner back. Do not rely on this guy to DH
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Post by nomar on Sept 15, 2023 17:40:31 GMT -5
Hiring Cora who has never been in a front office would be a catastrophe. If he was GM/the new guys’ assistant then I wouldn’t care, but I can’t imagine them hiring him to run the org.
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Post by nomar on Sept 15, 2023 11:30:36 GMT -5
If Ohtani wanted to come to Boston they could easily offload Yoshida to a team in need of a LF/DH. Yoshida shouldn’t be precluding them from adding major talent. My brain gets fried every time I try to think of an Ohtani contract that makes sense considering his arm issue now.
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