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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 7, 2021 19:07:54 GMT -5
Give CWS a game, but HOU is clearly terrifying. I'd have a hard time rooting for either team if the Yankees played the Astros. I wouldn't watch. I freaking hate them for better reasons than I hate the Yankees. You go with the Astros here man. I get you don’t like Houston but this isn’t a hard one.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 7, 2021 17:57:30 GMT -5
Dalbec has a 181 wRC+ against RHP since 8/1. How is this even a question? Yes Dalbec has trouble against plus fastballs. But there hasn't been a pitcher that has thrown him ONLY fastballs and it's not like Shaw has done much at all for a few years except in rare situations against RHP. Shaw is well-rested, would field better and balance out the L/R split in the lineup better. The bottom of the lineup did not do well against Cole even on a down day for him. Bobby gets some rest and then hopefully by Sunday Schwarber can play first at Fenway.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 7, 2021 17:31:18 GMT -5
They should be sitting Bobby vs Baz tomorrow. Baz would smoke him with high fastballs. Shaw fields better and is more rested. As mentioned above, it's probably JDM DH, Schwarber 1B, presuming JD can go. I don't want Schwarber in the OF at the Trop. Yeah I agree I’m saying I’d rather see Shaw than Dalbec at first against righties with plus fastballs, especially on the road. I have less of an issue with it at Fenway.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 7, 2021 16:47:36 GMT -5
They should be sitting Bobby vs Baz tomorrow. Baz would smoke him with high fastballs. Shaw fields better and is more rested. Definitely, but Shaw looks a lot bigger, so I don’t know if he’s the same defensive player as he was for us Baseball reference had Bobby at -.05 for WPA in our last game against the Yankees, worst on the team.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 7, 2021 16:16:47 GMT -5
Listening to the Astros-White Sox game on the radio. 3-0 Astros and McCullers is shoving.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 7, 2021 16:08:34 GMT -5
They should be sitting Bobby vs Baz tomorrow. Baz would smoke him with high fastballs. Shaw fields better and is more rested.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 7, 2021 8:49:28 GMT -5
Yeah they threw a bunch of darts at the wall and inevitably some of them didn’t work out. Luckily the ones that didn’t work out, they’ll be able to cut ties with all of them.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 7, 2021 8:07:36 GMT -5
“This team just has a funk on it. It’s not enough to just lose, they have their ace pantsed by their bitter rival. From here on out cole will have this start shoved in his face whenever they play the Red Sox.”
Hahaha
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 6, 2021 9:09:04 GMT -5
Are we in agreement now to not start Bobby vs tough righties? Doesn’t make a lot of sense. Eh, if it’s between him and Travis Shaw, I’m fine with Bobby. I was at the game last night but heard they mentioned a stat where Bobby has something like 2 hits against pitches 97+ all year. CANNOT start him against Baz. That would be managerial malpractice
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 6, 2021 8:41:15 GMT -5
Are we in agreement now to not start Bobby vs tough righties? Doesn’t make a lot of sense.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 23:50:38 GMT -5
Enjoyed the heck out of this game. Sat in RF Roof Box. Gunning down judge and the Bogaerts homer were my two favorite moments. Bullpen pitched insanely well.
Going forward, I think its pretty important we don’t give Bobby starts versus tough righties. Pretty clear to me that was the wrong move.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 17:40:00 GMT -5
Last Saturday we had a 2-1 lead with two outs in the top of the eighth with no one on and they walked Brett Gardner.
That absolutely cannot happen.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 17:11:42 GMT -5
Cannot walk Brett Gardner tonight. The Red Sox have been doing it all year. If you need to put him on base, at least bean him.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 14:17:04 GMT -5
What would the Red Sox's final record have been if we'd had only average relief pitching after the All-Star Game? My guess is that we would have won 4-6 more games, including at least one of the final two games in our last series with the Yankees. If we'd come into this game with 96 wins, we'd be the favorites. Our bullpen sets up very well for this game: Brasier & Taylor for rocky mid-inning moments + Houck to eat some innings. Then Robles (perhaps) & Whitlock to get us to the 9th and Pivetta, who seemed to love the spotlight against Soto Sunday afternoon. ERod will be waiting if we go extra innings. We're not the same team we were just ten days ago. If Cora hadn’t brought in Darwinzon Hernàndez vs the Yanks then its fairly likely the Yanks would’ve had to use Cole vs the Jays in a play in game.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 13:50:31 GMT -5
Can someone explain going with Dalbec over Shaw if Shaw plays better D and hits righty fastballs better? Simple. They want Shaw available late in the game to face one of their righty relievers when they PH for one of their catchers. If not Shaw as the lefty off the bench, then who? Their only other lefty is their pinch runner Duran. Makes sense. Thanks.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 13:44:21 GMT -5
Can someone explain going with Dalbec over Shaw if Shaw plays better D and hits righty fastballs better?
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 13:12:24 GMT -5
Houck did not do well versus the Yanks last time out.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 13:00:30 GMT -5
It's just 12 PA. 94 on the season isn't arbitrary, there's a huge split in the data. Statcast only does >= and <= selections, and no fractional velos, so it's hard to do buckets of each mph. But here's Dalbec on the season: .253 / .188 94+ (51)
.306 / .190 95+ (33) .356 / .188 96+ (19) .404 / .063 97+ (11) I can do math to get the bucket numbers, but it looks like there's little change until you get to 97+
Velo No wxOBA wOBA 91 8 .521 .864 92 10 .529 .458 93 17 .233 .268 94 18 .156 .184 95 14 .238 .193 96 8 .290 .360 97+ 11 .404 .063 He annihilates salad. 93 is where he actually starts to struggle, but 94 gives him the most trouble. Above that, the harder they throw, the better he hits the ball. I doubt I'll look into the karma collapse at 97+, but who knows?
Whats wrong with the Shaw idea? I just can’t have faith Bobby will hit Cole and Shaw would likely field better.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 12:36:49 GMT -5
Yankees -135 is the line
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 11:37:27 GMT -5
MLB Network is reporting Vázquez is starting at second?
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 11:20:44 GMT -5
8 of the 10 "pundits" at mlb.com pick the Yankees. Can’t say I blame them. They just swept us, they have Cole, and we have no JD. They also killed Eovaldi last time.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 9:58:30 GMT -5
Any chance we get Shaw at 1B? Bobby vs Cole is basically asking for an inning or two of Bobby whiffing with men on base.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 5, 2021 8:02:57 GMT -5
Hard to get excited for this game with how this team's bullpen has been performing and how they've done in "must-win" situations and games against superior opponents. With that said, win this ONE GAME, and the entire season is a complete success. Anything more is just extra credit. Even if they lose ALDS game 5 or the ALCS game 7 up 7 runs in the 9th inning. All I ask for is that they win 1 time. This seems very strange for any serious Sox fan. I had an old boss who made my life miserable who was a big Yankees fan. I’ve been to hundreds of Red Sox games since I was 8 and this is my 4th Yankee game this year tonight. I’m a 3rd generation Boston sports fan, my Grandpa used to live in the Fenway area in the 40s. We have a chance to kill shot them after they gave up 5 of their top 25 prospects and have Cole in his prime. This is how I feel as well.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 4, 2021 20:42:21 GMT -5
Christian Arroyo will be this game’s Bucky Dent I actually asked myself, which guy on the roster could fit that role, and came up with the same answer. That means it has to happen, right? I can see Plawecki filling this role as well.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Oct 4, 2021 11:52:28 GMT -5
Yeah… Bobby should not start.
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