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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 27, 2016 16:44:32 GMT -5
Will it come in the form of Papi reaching the 40 hr mark before leaving the copy of the house that ruth built? hr 40 will be papi's gift to some lucky yankee fan for this season. the haunting will occur in subsequent seasons, perhaps when the yanks appear to have a playoff series wrapped up Hmm, that will actually be known as the "Curse of the Millar" Add: and may it last 87 years.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 27, 2016 15:48:42 GMT -5
Will it come in the form of Papi reaching the 40 hr mark before leaving the copy of the house that ruth built?
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 27, 2016 13:09:14 GMT -5
And here's a story in the NY Daily News about how the Yankees shouldn't honor Big Papi because he flipped his bat, David Price hated him before he was a teammate, and the leaked PED bullcrap (which has been admirably discussed on another thread here). And of course he was no Mariano or Jeter. And then there's the whole response to the Marathon bombing and willing the team to the 2013 WS win, ignored. It's true he didn't pitch, Papi has the same joyful love of the game that Rivera displayed. Now if only Papi hadn't insisted on playing first base after it was obvious to all that he couldn't handle the position anymore.....oh wait...... www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/yankees/yankees-honoring-david-ortiz-feels-forced-unnecessary-article-1.2807375NY Daily News, classless to the end, just like most of their fans
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 26, 2016 12:44:59 GMT -5
The guy is a Yankees and Jest fan and you expect us to take him seriously? Surely you Jets.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 22, 2016 22:40:49 GMT -5
Uehara might be my favorite Sox pitcher ever. Every pitch he throws is a strike. That puts tremendous pressure on the batter. There is no waiting around. No working the count. The ball is coming and it's a strike. Koji is great and fun to watch, but again, I gotta go with Pedro.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 21, 2016 21:14:29 GMT -5
If aliens land and the fate of the planet hangs on the outcome of one baseball game Buchholz is my starter....alright...I'm a little excited. I'm still going with Pedro.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 20, 2016 20:14:51 GMT -5
Ladies and gentlemen, the face of Major League Baseball David -Big Papi -Ortiiiiizzzzzzz!!!!!
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 19, 2016 19:59:26 GMT -5
Yeah, maybe Ben had the occasional good idea after all. /s Sucks when your good idea takes a full year to materialize. You mean like Hanley?
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 19, 2016 19:56:41 GMT -5
Yeah, maybe Ben had the occasional good idea after all. /s
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 18, 2016 14:45:42 GMT -5
Eric, I agree about the idea of retributive justice, but giving the Sox (or any trading partner) an extra pick disadvantages all teams whose subsequent picks are lowered, which is why I modified champs040713's idea of reversing the trade but giving the Sox the option after the seaon. Not if you take away the Padres' pick at the same time. Reversing the trade is probably not going to happen, and I doubt the Sox are going to get anything here, but it really is shocking that the Padres are suffering *no* downside to what they've done. Preller taking a one-month breather in the quiet part of the year for him? That's literally nothing, probably a bonus for the Padres since they save a little money. I love the idea of them being prosecuted for insurance fraud. Well that works if the Sox are the only team that was hoodwinked but since there were at least 3 that would mean 2 slots down for everyone else even if you dock SD 3 picks.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 17, 2016 16:59:48 GMT -5
Eric, I agree about the idea of retributive justice, but giving the Sox (or any trading partner) an extra pick disadvantages all teams whose subsequent picks are lowered, which is why I modified champs040713's idea of reversing the trade but giving the Sox the option after the seaon.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 17, 2016 16:54:48 GMT -5
I think you're close here. Since the Sox are in a postseason race and made the trade explicitly for that purpose, they should keep Pomeranz through the season and then have the choice about whether to reverse the trade. That way they have the seasoned pitcher for now while running the risk that his injury flares up before the end of the season, and then they can with the benefit of having evaluated him medically decide whether or not to keep him or reverse the deal. This does not disadvantage other teams as an extra draft pick would and largely expunges the deceit if SD. In fact that should be the method to ameliorate all the trades done by Prellar where this was an issue. The punishment of Sand Diego by their losing picks or what have you is thus separated from compensating the trading partners.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 13, 2016 11:43:23 GMT -5
Thanks for the detailed discussion on volatility, Eric
Now for an analysis of the fact that walk off errors are committed by guys whose name starts with "H"
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 13, 2016 8:09:16 GMT -5
Beginning August 12, the Sox have gone 20-10, outscoring their opponents 193 - 101, which is a Pythagorean .774 (23 - 7). They have played 20 of those 30 games on the road, which reduces their expected wins by 0.5 (hence giving them a .790 adjusted Pythagorean). Their opponents have average .504 in schedule-adjusted BaseRuns (but .490 if you include karma). In half of the losses, they blew a 75% chance of winning. They have done this essentially without Steven Wright, who started twice, pitched in pain, and gave up 9 ER in 10 IP. And essentially without Koji Uehara, who pitched three times and only once with a LI of more than 0.3. And without Andrew Benintendi for the last 17 games. Furthermore, they have also added Joe Kelly to the bullpen, and he has pitched four times with LI of .01, .34, .44, and .43, so his contribution to the streak is a whole 0.06 wins above average (WPA). However, he has a an 0.81 xFIP and 1.35 SIERA, thanks to a 40% K - W. Question for Eric: DOes volatility figure into Pythagorean analysis? The Sox seem to have periods of high run games (blow-outs alternating with lower scoring periods and this situation could create a false impression of expected wins if the numbers are smoothed by some kind of averaging function. In fact you could do this sort of analysis for pitchers as well to see if the team maybe has a volatility "problem" that causes them to underpreform. I don't have the background to do the math for this and perhaps it's alreaady accounted for, but it's something that I've seen in my former day job. Or, in keeping with the zeitgeist, maybe its' Farrrell.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 12, 2016 21:06:10 GMT -5
Part of me would vote Ortiz as the MVP if not for this year alone than as sort of a lifetime achievement award. And then a think about all the strum and drang of Jeter and Mariano's farewell tours versus how relatively little is being made of Papi who is arguably among the, if not the, greatest clutch hitter of all time and is having the best season a 40 year old batter has ever had. Dude. They've thrown him a farewell in every stadium. Yes, he hasn't been ignored, but not currently living in Boston or NY the difference in coverage by the national sports press is very obvious. We got a blow by blow of the two MFYs on the network sports shows almost nightly it seemed along with specials reviewing their careers. Very little of that for Ortiz. That's the point Iwas making.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 12, 2016 20:26:37 GMT -5
Part of me would vote Ortiz as the MVP if not for this year alone than as sort of a lifetime achievement award. And then a think about all the strum and drang of Jeter and Mariano's farewell tours versus how relatively little is being made of Papi who is arguably among the, if not the, greatest clutch hitter of all time and is having the best season a 40 year old batter has ever had.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 9, 2016 19:10:22 GMT -5
It's getting to the point where Porcello should start every game one and any big game, not necessarily because he is their best pitcher although he's done very well, but because the offense just seems to light it up when he's on the bump.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 7, 2016 17:22:29 GMT -5
Fenway Fanatic said: "We have 7 games left vs Balt and 6 vs Toronto. We have the toughest schedule left of the AL East teams. I'm nervous."
Baltimore has 7 games & Toronto has 6 games versus US, they should be nervous and the Sox control their own destiny. The pitching has come around (pen excepted, the dog days draw to a close and the kids get their second wind and they come through it battle tested and ready to roll! (I know, very un-Boston, at least through 2004).
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Sept 2, 2016 20:03:26 GMT -5
Groome with his best Kopech impression, 2.2 no hit innings with 4 walks Groome is far from a finished product. Much work to do after this outing.. Welllll, he's been 18 years old for all of about 15 minutes, maybe he'll be ready in another hour or so
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Aug 30, 2016 11:30:44 GMT -5
Here's the thing about ranking by WAR in Mookie's case, he would be higher still if he played CF which we all know he can play well (maybe as well as Trout) but because JBJ is there and is superior to probably anyone Mookie plays RF and gets corner OF ratings instead of CF ratings. Unfortunately there is no way that bit of esoterica will figure into any but a few voters minds.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Aug 26, 2016 13:22:45 GMT -5
Darwinzon for the Gipper? Naturally.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Aug 19, 2016 18:19:15 GMT -5
Damn we are going to miss Big Papi!
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Jul 12, 2016 21:18:58 GMT -5
The Red Sox Padres trade was larger than rumored.
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Jul 11, 2016 17:25:34 GMT -5
Also remember that sprinters do not have to immediately decelerate as would a base runner going from first to second. They are running 60 meters indoors and 100 meters outdoors through the finish line. Moncada was running a 30-yard sprint and had to decelerate to a dead stop at the end of the sprint (second base). And baseball cleats ain't track shoes, but I think the analysis was based on his top speed (which may not actually be his top speed for all the reason mentioned in this thread) not his time for 30 yards. After all he did decelerate to stop at second, but he also had a lead of of first so not really 30 yards. Nonetheless, the guy can fly!!
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Post by maxwellsdemon on Jul 4, 2016 12:56:37 GMT -5
Situations like this reveal a lot about character. In this case Durant seems to be saying he wants the short road/best chance to a ring and then we'll see. That's fine, but if he thinks that he can jump to the Celts as the team leader in a year and play with his good friend he may find that that lost year while the C's young core develops has robbed him of that opportunity and perception. One has to question whether he has the leadership drive and ability of Larry Bird whose game he claims to have admired so much.
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