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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 29, 2013 16:32:32 GMT -5
If the Orioles were smart, they'd fleece the Rangers or any other team in a trade for Davis. Sell now before he turns into a pumpkin. You are joking am about 90% sure with these posts comparing WMB, Iglesias going on correct? Davis has 1000 PA with the O's over the last nearly 2Y and his combined OPS those 2Y is in the .860 range, w/70HR and hitting .280. Not WMB territory, that has 500 PA, .740 and 24 with his totals for 2013 half (or less) for 2013.Not saying you here, but anybody on this site who would compare a legitimate hitter like Davis, who is just going through a prolonged slump to a very unpolished hitter in WMB who doesn't know what the strike zone is and goes to the plate hacking needs to watch more orioles games than just the recent Sox-O's series. No I think he is talking about the same Davis when he was 23-24 the same age as Middlebrooks is now. Davis showed he was the same unpolished hitter then who doesn't know what the K zone is and goes to the plate hacking and K'ed more than Middlebrooks did!!! Ya know that guy. It was apparent Davis needed to age back then just as Middlebrooks now! Davis: .227 .283 .407 .690 77+ with 40 walks and 190 K's 22 D and 22hr at same age MDBKS: .247 .283 .457 .741 96+ with 22W and 130 K's 27 D and 24 hr in a few less AB 502 to Davis 511 So age wise Middlebrooks isn't that far from what Davis was or you could argue he was a little better! Who knows what the future will bring but Davis also has only 2 good years and that has no bearing on what Middlebrooks can or will do. Middlebrooks has the power as well as Davis plus his defense is better.
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 29, 2013 15:32:41 GMT -5
On the BP Chat today with Zach Mortimer regarding Cecchini. Now does someone want to explain to stupid Moonstone what a "bat-to-ball hitter" is? And yes I did google it. doesn't that mean excellent at "getting the bat on the ball" type hitter. Ie Johny Damon.
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 29, 2013 15:02:41 GMT -5
That's "shiny new toy that hasn't lost its luster yet" syndrome. The race between the two isn't over yet and just because WMB has hit a bump in the road doesn't mean he wouldn't/couldn't end up light years ahead of GC in the end. Bump in the road? His ship is stranded in a mine field and the fleet has deserted him! His struggles started in April and have gotten no better at Pawtucket, as of 7/28. That's no simple lack of loss of luster but lack of plate discipline and other basic skills he never had nor developed. Let see Brooks last 10 game line. .279 .354 .419 .773 Iglesias .100 .100 .100 .200 All of July Brooks: .250 .301 .417 .718 Iglesias .200 .244 .213 .457 Seems to me Middlebrooks is coming out of his doldrums and Iglesias is going backwards. Middlebrooks isn't kill in AA yet but he is rounding back up to that support his advancement. Or we go with Young with no defense at .277 .342 .402 .743 for the year. Last Ten average (same as in MILB data): .125 .282 .219 .501 Or last month: .240 .333 .373 .707 I think Middlebrooks would even play better right now at Fenway.
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 29, 2013 10:23:32 GMT -5
Red Sox very much in Jake Peavy sweepstakes. Wouldn't exactly say they're favorites but between motivation and prospects in strong position. Ya know, This twit Passan states is nothing but garbage intake. Everybody knows the sox have lots of high quality prospects so why do these guys dribble it out like this? If they are to be believed the sox are going to get Lee, Peavy, Norris, and replace the whole bullpen and then still have enough "good" prospects to get Young and or Utley to play 3rd base. Isn't it sickening after awhile!!!
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 28, 2013 12:17:06 GMT -5
We seem to be working really hard to find explanations as to why a career .261/.360/.398 hitter is hitting .279/.353/.344 this month. I think it's more that he's hitting .217/.321/.239 since July 7. .278/.330/.320 since June 19. There's something to what moonstone is saying. He's walked 4 times in his last 106 plate appearances, 3.8% (his obp is boosted by 4 hbp in that time, and although I don't want to restart that "is getting hit by pitches a repeatable skill" argument again, because frankly it wasn't interesting at all, I think we can at least all agree that it's at least not nearly as important or repeatable a skill as plate approach/drawing walks are in terms of getting on base). Compare that with 34 walks in his first 274 plate appearances (12.4%) and something's clearly changed. He's also only got 4 XBH in those last 106 PA's, all doubles, compared to 21 XBH, 10 of those HR, in his first 274. ISOP dropped from .181 to .042. Seriously, go look at his game log, both his walks and power just suddenly fell off a cliff on June 19. I tried searching ESPNBoston's blog for anything that may have happened to Nava around then (because I'm a corporate shill - what do you want from me?), but didn't find anything. He started two games of a doubleheader on the 18th, went deep in the second game, and just hasn't hit for power or walked since. Was Nava hurt in the June 20th article I believe about the June 19th game or early the 20th? Hit by pitch and then the slip rounding third? Might be more to it than we know. bostonherald.com/sports/red_sox_mlb/clubhouse_insider/2013/07/red_sox_yankees_scoreless_earlyRed Sox, Yankees scoreless early Saturday, July 20, 2013 "Through three innings, the Red Sox and New York Yankees have each had a scoring opportunity but neither was able to capitalize on it as the game remains scoreless. In the bottom of the first inning, Daniel Nava reached when he was hit by a Hiroki Kuroda pitch and advanced to second when Dustin Pedroia grounded out. David Ortiz then lined a single to left field, but Vernon Wells threw home to Yankees catcher Chris Stewart, who tagged out Nava in a play that wasn't very close in part due to the fact that the Red Sox right fielder slipped while rounding third."
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 25, 2013 17:47:51 GMT -5
I almost feel bad for PD with this contract. Kinda wish there were some escalators for the later years in case he's still playing at an all-star level. The chances of Dustin Pedroia playing at an All-Star level between ages 35-38 are pretty low. So then maybe we should move him to shortstop and "him and jeter" could play with each other there for years all the while making it to the all stars!!!!
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 25, 2013 11:18:59 GMT -5
I almost feel bad for PD with this contract. Kinda wish there were some escalators for the later years in case he's still playing at an all-star level. Right, PD is going to be making 60 % or so of a 100 million bucks over the next 8 years without even counting what he will make on endorsements now that he is the Face of the Sox. I don't feel sorry for him in fact I think he will invest enough of the Money (he shows he is smart enough to get what he wants) to live comfortably his entire life kind of like Gator did with his (lesser) monies from his glory years that he invested to keep on making enough for life! The smarter athletes seem to find ways to enjoy life and not look like baboons to the rest of the world!
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 24, 2013 17:13:51 GMT -5
I haven't care from the beginning. Let's go SNL with this thing. I could go on an infinitely long rant about this, but what it comes down to is that PED use is an outrage... whenever that outrage suites someone's purposes. If you're the media and you're pushing a narrative about how Bonds or A-Rod are jerks, well then steroid use makes them history's greatest monsters. If it's Andy Pettitte and he's a hero, well, he probably just did it the one time to get healthy and let's all just forget about that. If you're Bud Selig in '98 and the home run chase is bringing baseball back to life, steroids are fine. If it's '02 and you need a club to beat the player's union with, then suddenly steroids are an issue. If you're a Red Sox fan, there's nothing suspicious about Ortiz being one of the five best hitters in baseball at 37, or Nava suddenly hitting for power at 30, but the Yankees are clearly juiced. I'm not saying one way or the other on these issues, but the point is, no one actually cares about steroid use. It's just a convenient way that people can pursue their own agenda or re-enforce their biases under the pretense of some kind of moral righteousness. Careful what your saying, I got kicked off another nameless Sox site a couple years ago for saying the same thing as your "short" narrative above. LOL
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 24, 2013 15:57:29 GMT -5
Is Lester's cutter that bad? Or are players sitting on it when it's so predictable? Or should the question be: How often or when in certain counts am I going to sit on his cutter as I know it is coming?
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 24, 2013 15:47:18 GMT -5
They are hardly victims. There were quite a few reports that it was common knowledge in the clubhouse that Arod was juicing when he signed the contract. They didn't care. You may personally feel that way, but the the CBA has never put the onus or the burden on the teams to ensure their players were clean and steroid-free. Back in 2007, the only reports connecting Rodriguez to steroid use were allegations from Jose Canseco, who was just about the least sympathetic and credible character out there at the time. But ironically the one telling the truth or closest to it! LOL
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 24, 2013 15:26:02 GMT -5
So basically, no one even cares about steroid use unless it happens to get pinned on a player/team they already dislike. LOL or the player who ranked above your favorite player to win a notable award. Personally, if Kemp was to get that past MVP then Gator should of got Canseco's in 88 just like he claimed when Jose admitted steroids to start this whole mess. After all the Sox earned that one, way back when it counted!!! LOL
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 24, 2013 12:56:29 GMT -5
And they profited from his 2009 W Championship plus all the post season games and his titles too. But hey the yankees benefited from those championship honors so they ... to be fair should lose from them too when the roids apply (even though they won't). We can only move forwards and not backwards. If you start to take banners down the Res Sox are going on 95 years without a championship. Isn't that why the penalty going forward should be in the form of no luxury tax relief to a team that signed a non-voidable contract?
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 24, 2013 12:44:27 GMT -5
I really hope salaries for suspended/banned players get donated to charity and continue to count towards the luxury tax threshold. If not, you can be sure that the Yankees are behind the lifetime ban for Arod and that would be ridiculously unfair. But from a business stand point they are hurt by his use of PEDs. They invested in what they were led to believe was one of greatest baseball players of all time. Smart investment? No. They deserve that money back based on the fact that he was a cheat and a liar. And they profited from his 2009 W Championship plus all the post season games and his titles too. But hey the yankees benefited from those championship honors so they ... to be fair should lose from them too when the roids apply (even though they won't).
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 23, 2013 19:23:44 GMT -5
the stfu comments a few weeks ago from cashman told me all I needed to know... which I thought was incredibly unprofessional regardless of my opinion of A-rod. not really fair that the Yankees can gladly take advantage of a-rod's good years and now that we know he's either injured or... lost it, they can conveniently extricate themselves out of that horrific contract... This is my feeling too. However with a little luck aroids II will appeal his suspension and force the yanks to pay the full 28 million this year and not the 20 next year. Then with a little luck they can give him 150 games and the yanks are stuck with the next part of his contract even if he is injured!
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 23, 2013 14:34:23 GMT -5
Colon probably has the strongest appeal based on double jeopardy of anyone. He already tested positive and served his suspension. Suppose I was arrested after robbing a bank, with bags of money in my car, got convicted and thrown in jail. Years later I was released, and then the police came back and were all "we can tie you to the location of the bank robbery." Well yeah, I robbed that bank and went to jail for it. They can't arrest me again for finding new evidence of a crime that I've already been convicted of served the punishment for. So it goes with Colon. There would have to be clear evidence not just to connect Colon to Biogenesis, but also that what he got from them isn't what got him suspened last season. Given the timeline of when this story broke, it seems like that will be hard to do. This was what the interviews were for with the players. If any of them lied or are on record as denying the biogenesis lab use and they are found to be lying by either MLB investigations or the facts from the lab owners statements than that is supposed to be a SECOND offense subject to another suspension. I assume once they present to a second hearing with investigators about the allegations such as Colons and Melkys and they again don't answer there will be BUD claiming that is also proof used against them. Might be tricky but it will go through with the mood of the fans today about these guys and steroids. Didn't Melky deny the website too?
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 22, 2013 18:44:28 GMT -5
Ken Rosenthal ?@ken_Rosenthal 17s #Brewers’ Braun suspended for rest of season, according to MLB. Effective immediately. Evan Drellich ? evandrellich 33s Braun's statement via MLB: "I realize now that I have made some mistakes. I am willing to accept the consequences of those actions." I hope whomever Braun and his crew claimed messed up his samples got a good smile out of this news. That isn't enough from what happened! My son worked as a medical courier for awhile after he got laid off from a job after 5 yrs working there. These medical couriers do alot of work driving and such with most in their own vehicle getting samples back and forth. When someone misses a day deadline here, the protocol is to keep the samples in the case and get them refrigerated immediately until they can be shipped and/or delivered. Low pay and doesn't guarantee to cover all the vehicle costs of the driver even. Now the guy got fired that tried to get this sample protected when circumstances caused it not to be shipped as soon as it was supposed to be as I remember reading after Braun got away with his non-suspension. Braun needs to man up and apologize personally to the guy and should be paying him compensation for his loss as all he was (a lower classed working guy) got stripped from him and you can bet he hurt bad from it! Personally I would make braun pay a million tax free to the guy if I had MLB's power over this!
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 20, 2013 14:09:15 GMT -5
(5) Paying for "leadership" is rarely a good idea. Yeah, it was great when Adrian Gonzalez taught Papi how to hit again or whatever, but his power eroded pretty quickly and now that contract looks more and more like an albatross every day. Or is it? His HR total this season even playing in LA Stadium is already 14 plus his doubles are at 20, rbi's (don't mean to much but) could again be at 100 plus and his overall stats show a good improvement at: .299 .349 .480 .829 132+ Seems like we just have last year to complain about really. www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gonzaad01.shtml
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 20, 2013 10:52:37 GMT -5
Let's put it this way-- if Ellsbury finishes the season well enough that you think Ellsbury at 5/$75m would be a great deal even with JBJ in the wings, there's no chance that the Red Sox are getting him for that price. True but if you take Bj Upton's contract of 60M over 4 than look at the batting stats it shows ells a little better so add 15 16 17 18 19 over five for the yrs he may want and inflation it isn't out of ordinary for what the league is doing. ells is what 1 yr older with less miles. The only question then is will he hold up over that period and that is left to personal biases.
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 20, 2013 10:30:09 GMT -5
Baseball is like any other business and though it may not make any sense, you take care of your own. The Yankees have gone over board with the notion in regards to Jeter's contract. But Pedroia is a good guy to pay alot of money too, you want to make sure he is a Red Sox for life and is taken care of. The gamble is paying upfront for good PR and recruiting down the road. Ok, lets take Jeter's contract. Well to be fair his 30 - 34 year old contract where we know Pedroia fits. With ok defense and a solid bat Jeter hit. .313 .382 .453 .835 119 for those years. Seems to me Pedroia fits right in to that level with the fan appeal in Boston and the Yanks marketing of Jeter is about the same too. Jeter got 18.6M 19.6M 20.6M 21.6M 21.6M so why shouldn't the front office consider Pedroia at a level such as that with NO inflation (after all everyone agrees that Jeter's defense was not top of the line on his stats) and supposed Pedroia defensive decline. When you take that into consideration it seems a No brainer to me. Give him the money now and save before the Cano deal gets done.
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 20, 2013 10:03:52 GMT -5
I honestly haven't seen much written about Ellsbury either in the local or national press. Thts probably iis because he is not considered to be a top 25 talent in MLB. Having said that, Boras will likely still be able to get one team to give him 5 years and around $75 million after this season. Considering what they gave Victorino and what has been offered to Pedroia supposedly, it would be a fair assumption that the Sox front office would be satisfied with a 75 even 80M contract for Ells or even a touch higher with bonus monies or such. His Stats over Shane's (and his surprise contract average) do show that they could value him a lot higher. The marketing draw in Boston is a big deal and keeping with the core of central key players has always been the front office's stand I believe. Boston is not a market that can gamble on rookies to fill every spot. Just as JBJ is coming up they need to have more out of him before they hand him the center field job just as when Ells was a rookie and starting out (they kept coco around didn't they).
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Post by Gwell55 on Jun 29, 2013 21:29:24 GMT -5
So if you're Boldt and a team offers to fly you to Fenway to hang with major leaguers, sit in a luxury box and get wined and dined all on their dime are you really gonna turn it down? I think this is a win win for Boldt and the sox. Boldt gets a free weekend scouting out his dream and the sox get to leverage Boldt against their other hard signs. I don't think this makes the sox any more likely to sign Boldt. OK perhaps, 5% more likely. So the overall chance of signing Boldt is 5.5% instead of .5% Seems to me if he excepts the flight to Fenway and then the tour with wining, dining, and all those bells n whistles then the NCAA may frown on his eligibility so his signing % maybe is way up over your 5.5!
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Post by Gwell55 on Jun 28, 2013 21:57:39 GMT -5
Is there any word on Drew's Injury tonight?
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Post by Gwell55 on Jun 10, 2013 15:57:36 GMT -5
That's more than I expected, thought he'd sign for $700K-$800K. I figured it out during the draft if they gave 3M for Ball, 1M for Stank, and Denny than with the slot value plus the 1-2nd rd savings + 5% overage on first 3 picks would give them 1.414M for Denny. You think they can work Denny down to 1.3M than this would still work and your overage on the 4-10 slot amounts plus saving from under slot signs there could still go to the other high upside guys. Is that feasible?
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Post by Gwell55 on Jun 7, 2013 17:19:00 GMT -5
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Post by Gwell55 on Jun 7, 2013 16:03:36 GMT -5
Once when I went to Colorado I got lost in the Forrest Allday and it sucked ass!. Hey, My kid is going camping Allday tomorow in that same CO Forestt. Hope he doesn't take after you. lol
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