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Post by cologneredsox on May 30, 2016 7:20:16 GMT -5
This may be a rare opportunity to see the two best SS on the planet both actually play SS, at least for the next few years. It's becoming clear that Machado (as many suspected) is an even better (i.e., more valuable) SS than 3B, but the O's are clearly a better team with Hardy at SS than with Flaherty et al at 3B. I think they have to move Machado back there when Hardy comes off the DL (a month or less, I think). Look at the shift in talent across the defensive spectrum, catcher excluded. Guys on pace for a 6 fWAR season: SS: Machado, Bogaerts, Lindor, Crawford 2B: Zobrist, Altuve, Murphy, Cano, Kinsler, Pedroia CF: Trout, Fowler, Ozuna, Herrea, Desmond, Cespedes, Bradley 3B: Bryant, Donaldson, Arenado RF: Harper, Polanco, Eaton, Springer LF: Marte 1B: no one DH: Ortiz 10 guys at the two defensive positions, 10 guys at the two neutral positions, 4 guys at the first of the four offensive positions and two guys for the final three. The game is missing about three superstar LF and as many superstar 1B (Goldschmidt's just off to a slow start. Rizzo just misses this standard). Honest question, since I have no clue: Could it be that we can read from this that SS and CF get to much positional credit in the WAR-calculations?
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Post by cologneredsox on May 29, 2016 18:41:45 GMT -5
As enthusiastic as I am about Benintendi, Alex Bregman is just tearing up AA ball. As many home runs as strikeouts for a SS? Wow. 12 HR now. An wRC+ of 204 in AA ball already. He was the one guy the Sox rated higher than Benintendi in the draft if I remember correctly. True. They were really high on him but those silly Astros took him while they have a young duo in their middle infield (Altuve/Correa). How stupid of them, creating logjams! SMH Haha, good one. Although it's only making Correa switching to 3B easier, doesn't it?
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Post by cologneredsox on May 29, 2016 11:48:29 GMT -5
Wilkerson actually started for Pawtucket, not Portland. 9 K 2 BB... maybe our starter depth is fine after all? Just have scouted the box score and thought that, too. Aside from start he was dominant all season so, if I remember it correctly.
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Pedro
May 25, 2016 18:31:48 GMT -5
Post by cologneredsox on May 25, 2016 18:31:48 GMT -5
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Post by cologneredsox on May 25, 2016 13:20:47 GMT -5
Cosart and Poyner need to be moved up ASAP if they are at all ready. They're no babies relative to the league, and especially if a guy is drafted at a later age, if he performs you need to move him. Cosart is doing well since being solely a reliever. I think with his fastball he could become a dominant one, no?
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Post by cologneredsox on May 23, 2016 13:29:18 GMT -5
Nope
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Post by cologneredsox on May 22, 2016 18:11:28 GMT -5
Well, historically pitchers' velocity peaks at age 21-22, and stays relatively steady through 25-26. After that there's usually a small (1 mph) decline, with a slow downward trend until the early 30s, after which there's usually another, more significant drop. So, I should've said "The odds are highly against him ever sitting 92-94..." There are guys who improve their velocity in their mid-20s (Chicago's Quintana is a great example; Cliff Lee did very slightly in his late 20s too), but it's not the norm. Are there velocity reports from his recent starts? I guess his velocity will peak in his coming starts since he was injured and got a late start to the season. You might be totally right, I still hope for a little bit of extra, since he was always very projectable but never had a season in which everything seemed to click.
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Post by cologneredsox on May 22, 2016 16:41:23 GMT -5
Ha! Beat me to it. At 21 in high A, he's still pretty young and relatively age-advanced. He's clearly never going to sit 92-94 like some of us had hoped, but even at 90-93, he's got solid velocity for a LH, and he has two secondaries that grade out as average or slightly better. Still a fair chance he becomes a viable, even quality MLB starter. I that already clear?
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Post by cologneredsox on May 22, 2016 16:25:58 GMT -5
Another streak to watch: Bogey at 16, if I checked right.
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Post by cologneredsox on May 20, 2016 9:31:50 GMT -5
I don't like that update one bit. EVERYONE else who has written/recorded anything (blogs, tweets, chat rooms, talk shows, articles) regarding this doesn't feel he was trying to injure Odor. Why is Kopech getting caught up in this mess. That's two character strikes for me. One more and he gets the label hothead (at least). For one thing, Kopech has a point and he's certainly not the only one saying it (audio link), and for another, the entire baseball world was tweeting about this thing. I don't think this is a big deal or really any kind of deal. It's not a big deal, after all it's just a Twitter-statement. But why a guy with a recent problematic history in such a case feels the need to make a statement about it is well beyond me...
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Post by cologneredsox on May 20, 2016 9:28:39 GMT -5
Interesting take from Eric Longenhagen (Fangraphs) in an article for ESPN about team draft needs: "This system is top-heavy but has as much elite-level talent as any in baseball. Yoan Moncada, Rafael Devers and Andrew Benintendi could all be stars, while Anderson Espinoza's likely upside falls just short of that. Some of the lower-level bats are in the midst of breakout seasons, including first baseman Josh Ockimey and outfielder Tate Matheny." That is the first time I have really see someone down on his ceiling, at least recently. I guess you also have to ask, what does "likely upside" mean? I'm not sure it's the same as "ceiling" but it's also clearly not as likely as "could be" from the context. Stupid hedging/English language. Ha, I guess the problem lies in most languages, speech is always open to interpretation. But especially compared to the other names he sees with a likely all-star upside it's a rather surprising statement.
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Post by cologneredsox on May 20, 2016 8:54:15 GMT -5
Impatient? Like with Jackie Bradley Jr? Xander? Or maybe with having a lineup which contains 5 starting players who are are all recent prospect graduates? That's the definition of patience. One trade didn't overrule the last 5 years. I'm sure they realize that youth is by far the most important thing in baseball right now. It's not just a change in the Red Sox. It's a change in baseball overall. I don't know man. I guess, like most things in life, the truth lies in between: The Castillo signing as a response to just missing on Abreu, the "need for a contact offensive approach" by signing fat Pablo and Hanley, the Lackey trade (need for MLB ready talent instead of prospects) seemed pretty reactionary to me. I'd disagree about Hanley. He obviously was (and again is) a player whose offense is something you're not guaranteed to get from your farm. That it went wrong last year with his transition to lf, which has been discussed often and long enough, doesn't mean it was a change from the philosophy to try to develop as much homegrown talent as possible. Don't forget it was him who reportedly reached out to the Sox. And the early signs are it was a well worth deal after all; I expect him to add to his power potential, too. Would his offensive profile be better suited for LF? Sure. But I can see him getting to a point where he is a surplus at 1B, too. The lackey-trade had his reason, too. Sure, neither Craig not Kelly have legitimized it, but that doesn't mean there was no potential there. And who knows, maybe there still is, depending Kelly.
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Post by cologneredsox on May 19, 2016 5:33:38 GMT -5
Really? I was about to ask that but forgot yesterday. Being from Germany and not that much of a hockey-fan I always thought Gretzky was kind of the MJ of hockey, aka the goat? Have to check Orrs stats. Keep in mind that one of those two was a defenseman. That's like comparing stats for a pitcher vs a hitter. Soon after Wayne set the all time scoring record, the NHL Hall of Fame had a member vote for the all time greatest NHL player. Orr won in a total landslide. lol, no promises but I'll try to find the story, it was a very well written piece. I just realized that. Anyway, the plus/minus should be comparable, didn't check that yet. But interesting and I really like that a defenseman gets that much respect!
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Pedro
May 19, 2016 5:26:31 GMT -5
Post by cologneredsox on May 19, 2016 5:26:31 GMT -5
I became a huge hockey fan during/after the 1994 baseball strike (and have abandoned it again) and delved way into history and stats. Orr was easily the best player in NHL history, better than Gretzky and Lemieux. He was similar to Babe Ruth in that regard. Really? I was about to ask that but forgot yesterday. Being from Germany and not that much of a hockey-fan I always thought Gretzky was kind of the MJ of hockey, aka the goat? Have to check Orrs stats.
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Post by cologneredsox on May 16, 2016 7:40:47 GMT -5
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Post by cologneredsox on May 15, 2016 7:34:38 GMT -5
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Post by cologneredsox on May 11, 2016 1:41:28 GMT -5
I guess he gets talked about in the game threads.
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Post by cologneredsox on May 10, 2016 8:13:16 GMT -5
Happy Hankinoza-day!
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Post by cologneredsox on May 10, 2016 8:12:04 GMT -5
Isn't Jameson Taillon maybe a more realistic target compared to Glasnow, who really seems to be the center of attention for everyone right now. Then again, if I'm Pittsburgh, I keep on dreaming about a rotation being led by Cole, Glasnow and Taillon beginning this season. They could actually compare to the Mets with them.
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Post by cologneredsox on May 9, 2016 9:27:14 GMT -5
But happy Stank and BJ-Day! Well played... recognized it myself after posting it...
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Post by cologneredsox on May 9, 2016 8:31:04 GMT -5
But happy Stank and BJ-Day!
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Post by cologneredsox on May 8, 2016 6:59:31 GMT -5
Boy, not sure how this guy will ever get by with contact issues like this: Oppo power! Did it land already?
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Post by cologneredsox on May 6, 2016 9:12:32 GMT -5
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Post by cologneredsox on Apr 30, 2016 16:04:53 GMT -5
It's the H part of DH that Hanley wouldn't be able to handle. He put up an OPS-plus of 90 last year and is at 91 this year. A contending team needs its DH to be an impact bat. To put Hanley's suckage in perspective, he's basically the same hitter as JBJ (89 OPS-plus) so far this year. Still early...
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Post by cologneredsox on Apr 25, 2016 11:03:24 GMT -5
I can't really believe Owens is written off after one game again already. Nevermind he pitched well in AAA. Nevermind he has shown that there are days when he can control his fastball. Nevermind he is still only freaking 23 years old...
But then again: It's nothing new. If you'd count the players claimed as written off, washed up, to old, etc. here, you might be able to fill an all-star team.
Patience guys, patience please.
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