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Post by jchang on Jun 28, 2013 14:12:33 GMT -5
Where would Stankiewicz rank if/when it is official? Over the next several weeks we should see if Workman can justify a grade of 5, corresponding to 4/5 starter.
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Post by jchang on Jun 26, 2013 21:29:30 GMT -5
I am rooting for Iggy ROY too, but he just fell behind Yasiel on avg, leading in OBP. somehow I don't think Iggy will catch Yasiel on slugging.
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Post by jchang on Jun 24, 2013 13:06:17 GMT -5
From the top 150 MLB pitchers ranked in games started, discarding about 8 who had many non-starts, I am left with 142 pitchers with 1911 starts, and 1932 games, so almost all with this data is for IP by starters. There are 7 averaging 7 IP per game, 25 better than 6.5 IPG and 78 better than 6 IPG
Assuming the 3 starter is ranked 75 in IP per G, that would be just about 6 IPG and a 4 starter at 105, 5.6 IPG and a 5 starter at 135, 5.17 IPG So I would love it if our 4/5 starters can do 6-7 IPG
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Post by jchang on Jun 21, 2013 15:17:29 GMT -5
There is one closer I would trade for, but lets wait till the deadline
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Post by jchang on Jun 21, 2013 15:15:14 GMT -5
I think Ranaudo's floor is more likely grade/scale 4, not 3. Lets wait another month, then reconsider whether Workman looks to be grade/scale 5. I am ok with Hank currently at grade 5, but I am hoping that next year, after getting accustomed to Portland (with bumps) he will establish himself as a clear 6. We should wait until next year before nitpicking Ball or any HS prospects exact position
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Post by jchang on Jun 21, 2013 15:08:17 GMT -5
I don't think he will be a closer, but I can see late inning or long reliever, or a good 4/5th starter. But I have not seen him since last year. Or I can see Workman + Alex traded to Philly for Pap
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Post by jchang on Jun 17, 2013 7:56:42 GMT -5
its just not fair to compare Britton's 2 really good games against Ranaudo's 1 great game. Britton has had enough very good - great games this year that it is not a fluke. I am guessing that his numbers reflect pitching to contact, which can be effective eating innings, but does not win POW.
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Post by jchang on Jun 14, 2013 21:56:58 GMT -5
The Pawtucket Killer B's 2.0 with Bogie, Bradley and Brentz (double B), even better than the Salem Killer B's in 2012.
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Post by jchang on Jun 14, 2013 17:12:36 GMT -5
Several of the players at Pawtucket are not prospects but serve as AAA depth, 27-30 years old, below average for MLB, but good enough to have hang around just in case. I do not see a reason that one or two could be sent to AA, if that would help the development of a true prospect. I am thinking both Ranaudo and Britton have enough AA innings that they could be in AAA, especially Britton because he is already on the 40.
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Post by jchang on Jun 14, 2013 17:06:40 GMT -5
personally I think the grade is more important than the rank. What difference does it make that one prospect expected to be an up and down player is ranked slightly higher than another. However, we do have 8 players at grade/scale 4 (rk 11-18) and 22 at grade 3 (rk 19-40). I would like to propose half grade/scale for 3.5 and 4.5 only. These are the prospects on the border line to a major league career, and I would like to get finer resolution as who are more likely have a chance. That said, I am glad people are forgetting 2012 Ranaudo, I am thinking he might end up being better than Barnes. Owens is properly ranked for now at scale 5, but after getting acclimatized to AA, he will probably also emerge as scale 6.
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Post by jchang on Jun 11, 2013 14:09:00 GMT -5
Would it really take 13M for a QO to Salty, his career line is only 243/306/428 with a lot of that coming from this year
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Post by jchang on Jun 5, 2013 12:30:08 GMT -5
not just best on the Red Sox, but #9 for outfielders in all of MLB. Nava is not on the All Start ballot, so if people would please write-in for him
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Post by jchang on Jun 5, 2013 11:34:51 GMT -5
Is there anyone in the DC/NoVA area interesting in sharing a ride to the Salem game. I am too old to be driving late at night on the way back. - work is not that important
I am wondering if it might be a good idea next year either to keep Owens in Salem for 1-2 months just to build up strength, or have him pitch out the bullpen at Portland initially so that later he can start with confidence. Consider what has happened to many older high prospects on arriving at AA.
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Post by jchang on Jun 5, 2013 8:11:48 GMT -5
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Post by jchang on Jun 3, 2013 8:17:53 GMT -5
I don't think it is fair to compare 1 great game to 2 very good games for starting pitchers, as consistency has value. Perhaps PoW should be the last 2 games even if it goes into the previous week?
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Post by jchang on Jun 1, 2013 22:14:37 GMT -5
Ranaudo is missing from your (untouchable or trade) list? I am thinking we would have to give up one of the top 5 pitchers currently in AA or AAA. Assuming this is a salary dump by Philly, they would probably want one of the cheap Boston pitchers, of which only Doubront is a starter. At some point this season, it would probably make sense to package several players needing to be on 40-man this winter for one (near) star?
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Post by jchang on May 13, 2013 13:39:46 GMT -5
lets wait a few more weeks, by then there should confidence that Ranaudo's grade should be 5, and his floor should be 3.
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Post by jchang on May 1, 2013 13:26:36 GMT -5
I imagine the up arrows on Cecchini and Owens might be accompanied by a rise in their scale from 5 to 6? with Ranaudo moving up from 4 to 5? So our farm is not just loaded in having quantity for prospected rated at 5 (average MLB or better), but also that they are concentrated in the upper levels. And 2 of the 3 in high A should be in AA before long. A few have complained about the lack of really good prospects in low A, but its better to have the prospects where they are. Presumably two or three 5 guys will be packaged for a first division starter that is starting to get expensive for a tier 2 team.
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Post by jchang on May 1, 2013 12:12:47 GMT -5
Barnes has great outing after 6, people need to chill out and give him a chance to get acclimatized to AA
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Post by jchang on Apr 29, 2013 11:58:51 GMT -5
Stolmy is also having a great start to 2013 in AA. It seems many high pitching prospects have a rough welcome to AA. We should stop panicking when this happens (Barnes). So far I like our other Portland starting pitchers too. Even if they give up a few runs early, they tighten down and hang in for 5-6 innings.
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Post by jchang on Apr 26, 2013 23:08:40 GMT -5
I seem to recall that a number of pitchers had a rough start in AA, Ranaudo, Britton, Pimentel, Kelly. I can't recall how Workman did in his 5 starts last year.
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Post by jchang on Apr 26, 2013 15:10:23 GMT -5
weren't the sox 25-5 in games with Pedro one year? Is that asking too much? I recall a story where the sox were 20 games over 500, so they were a 500 team without Pedro, making the playoffs.
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Post by jchang on Apr 26, 2013 14:39:14 GMT -5
per moneyball, each point of OBP is worth 3 points SLG, as of 4/25 game Cecchini is 450/559 Coyle is 392/761 for +58 to Cecchini on OBP, and +202 to Coyle on SLG so slight advantage to Coyle, but it sure is great to have a collection of good hitters from Salem to Pawtucket
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Post by jchang on Apr 26, 2013 11:56:48 GMT -5
Almanzar's grade shows as 2, I assume it should be 3
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Post by jchang on Apr 26, 2013 10:28:47 GMT -5
The new rank of 27 is a good place for Almanzar, but his grade is still 2, while everyone else from 17-37 is 3, so I assume it was just an oversight. Sure there may not be an obvious need position for him, or he might get traded in a package. But I do not think it is fully clear whether his destiny is everyday player or bust. I will hope he earns the DH spot. this link is in the weekly notes today, www.pressherald.com/sports/the-kids-a-man-and-expecting-to-meet-those-expectations_2013-04-21.htmlso it would be nice to attach it Almanzar's entry in the Prospects page
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