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Post by klostrophobic on Apr 6, 2015 20:14:55 GMT -5
Can't believe they ever traded this guy. MVP. And all they had was the 2007 World Series to show for it. They didn't win in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 or 2014, though. Hanley could've helped there.
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Post by klostrophobic on Apr 6, 2015 16:57:29 GMT -5
Can't believe they ever traded this guy. MVP.
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Post by klostrophobic on Apr 6, 2015 10:19:08 GMT -5
That moment when you see the series matchup and realize that is their 1,2,3 and not their 3,4,5... Edited to remove "our" since we're not apart of the team. The best part is their #4 is Jerome Williams, who I would've assumed had retired years ago. I thought it was Miley.
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Post by klostrophobic on Apr 1, 2015 10:28:20 GMT -5
I'll always remember Jim Pagliaroni's grand slam with two outs—a towering blast over the monster that nearly hit my brand new Chrysler Newport as I was tromboning it down the new mass pike. Dave Sisler never was the same after that and neither was the win expectancy formula.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 26, 2015 13:22:59 GMT -5
Same wavelength; I was editing that into my post as you clicked POST REPLY.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 26, 2015 13:19:33 GMT -5
The main problem in analyzing any of this is just how rare knuckleball pitchers are. So there is almost nothing normal about them because they are pretty much all exceptions. Also, one guy in Rob Neyer believing in teaching washed out pitchers the knuckleball is not the same thing as "long-standing idea in the sabermetric community that teams could just teach their washed out pichers the knuckleball". It's one guy with one idea. Or it's one team in the Orioles. I don't see the Red Sox or A's or Cubs even considering it, and they're pretty sabermetric. There has to be a willingness on the part of the player, too. How many players are realistically open to becoming knuckleball pitchers? I imagine a lot of players look at it as a gimmick pitch. And how old are you when you're officially a failed prospect; it takes a lot of mental toughness to start over, spending the next 3+ years toiling in the minors making $20K a year.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 24, 2015 10:57:36 GMT -5
Does Victorino really want to go back to Philly that badly?
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 24, 2015 10:51:22 GMT -5
Gives him better range of motion not having a pesky muscle impeding his delivery.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 24, 2015 10:45:51 GMT -5
1. How many games will the Red Sox win in 2015? (points +/-1 either way) 94 2. Who will win AL MVP? Mike Trout 3. Who will win AL Cy Young? Felix Hernandez 4. Who will win AL Rookie of the Year? Rusney Castillo 5. Who will win the World Series? Red Sox 6. Which current or ex-Red Sox player/prospect will get the most MVP vote points in 2015? Hanley Ramirez 7. Who starts the most games for Boston after Porcello, Buchholz, Miley, Masterson, and Kelly? Henry Owens 8. Who is the first player to be added to the 25-man roster on or after April 15? (players coming off the DL do not count). Rusney Castillo 9. Who is the first player to earn a permanent promotion after the season starts? (from any level to any level - not just to Boston - but excluding rehab re-assignments or call-ups from XST) Teddy Stankiewicz 10. Name one player the Red Sox will draft in 2015. Kyle Funkhouser
Red Sox minor league system only 11. Which pitcher has the most wins? Joe Gunkel 12. Most strikeouts? Joe Gunkel 13. Which hitter hits the most home runs? Sean Coyle 14. Best OPS? (min 200 PAs) Sam Travis 15. Most stolen bases? Danny Mars 16. Who will be voted the Offensive POY as voted by the SP Community? Rafael Devers 17. Pitcher of the Year? Teddy Stankiewicz 18. Breakout POY? Mike Kopech 19. Comeback POY? Ty Buttrey 20. Which prospect will make the biggest jump in the SoxProspects rankings? Ty Buttrey
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 20, 2015 13:17:55 GMT -5
Kershaw has horrible springs, I'd take that chance. Is he worse in March or October?
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 20, 2015 13:15:12 GMT -5
Selection bias. Major league teams tend to only have players at 2B who know how to get out of the way and thus don't get injured more than other positions. Further, as players get older their injury risk might increase and they might move off of 2B or out of baseball. Anytime you use a group of major leaguers to make a statement about an individual player, especially a prospect, you are going to run into that problem. Aren't there specific injury risks at all positions, though? I don't think selection bias fits in here. Avoiding collisions is a skill and anyone athletic enough to play second can probably develop this skill. LF: injury from collision with CF (or 3B if he's Adrian Beltre), running into walls (concussion from ball-flight if Jose Canseco) CF: collision with LF/RF, running into walls RF: collision with 2B/CF, walls 1B: runner stepping on leg covering bag, running into dugout steps/wall 2B: running into RF, spiked by baserunner SS: collisions with OF, running into seats if you're Jeter, getting spiked at second base 3B: running into wall, colliding with Ellsbury, interfering with runners in WS games C: too numerous to count
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 19, 2015 16:08:55 GMT -5
And just so we are clear pitch framing is catching a baseball let's not pretend it's some ridiculously difficult skillset. Yes it's a simplification but that's what it is and don't liken it to pitching being throwing a baseball. And hitting home runs is just hitting a baseball.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 19, 2015 12:53:33 GMT -5
I can't imagine it's an easy skill to acquire—isn't it something that people scout for, so presumably it is already something that is trained? So just because there are publicly available stats that indicate that is a real, quantifiable skill, it's suddenly going to be easier to train?
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 19, 2015 10:32:58 GMT -5
Perhaps it's in the best interests of a big market team to move the market price on pre-arb eligible long-term signings like this. But yes, I was mostly kidding even if 10/140 is easily worth it.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 19, 2015 9:34:49 GMT -5
10 years, 140 million. Get it done.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 17, 2015 13:28:43 GMT -5
Greenville sounds good. Mookie started 2013 there and finished 2014 with 213 MLB atbats. If Moncada is as legit, he could be up late next year, at age 21.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 9, 2015 14:49:00 GMT -5
I think all thread titles should be amended to include appropriate RISP numbers.
2015 Draft Discussion (2014 draftees have yet to produce a hit with RISP, should we even bother drafting this year?) Vazquez Pitch Framing Log (batters 0-0 with RISP on framed pitches, Vazquez's ability clearly undefined) BIG BAD MOOKIE BETTS THREAD (Mookie 10/39 with RISP in MLB career thus far, should we trade him for Justin Turner who hit .416 last year with RISP?)
Etc.
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Post by klostrophobic on Mar 2, 2015 11:40:12 GMT -5
Good for him if he has that clause in his contract. I wouldn't go down either.
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Post by klostrophobic on Jan 27, 2015 17:41:27 GMT -5
He could have had an Audi R8 for that much money. Damn.
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Post by klostrophobic on Jan 8, 2015 17:22:16 GMT -5
If you look across the majors, it seems a lot of elite relievers were almost exclusively relievers from the getgo after being drafted/signed. Holland, Kimbrel, Doolittle, Jansen, Robertson all follow this model and they're probably five of the best ten relievers of the last three years. I don't know if this is a recent trend or not but it strikes me as interesting because I would not have guessed it. Just a quick glance at the top fWAR relievers since 2012 shows a great number of relievers who were strictly relievers from the start of their pro careers, which I would not have guessed. www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2014&month=0&season1=2012&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
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Post by klostrophobic on Dec 19, 2014 19:45:21 GMT -5
Could you take the Phillies roster and assets, and with an additional 90 million, produce a team that is as good as the Dodgers?
Just for laziness, just add Lester, Shields, Ramirez, Sandoval and Robertson. Are you as good as the Dodgers?
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Post by klostrophobic on Dec 11, 2014 12:50:19 GMT -5
What are your thoughts on the sudden transformation to this staff being so groundball-heavyy? Spitballing, is it possible they trade Bogaerts and acquire a more defensively-apt SS until Marrero is ready (perhaps by season end). Keep in mind that Bogaerts has been training with Pedroia at Athletes Performance Institute in Arizona this offseason. My guess is they have been working with his on his first step explosiveness and his flexibility. I would not be surprised to see significant improvement in his SS defense this year. Are you saying Xander is going to be in the best shape of his life? Sorry, just find it hard to buy into the 'trained really hard in the offseason and thus will be much better this year' trope. If it were that easy, why didn't Derek Jeter ever improve his quickness? I think Bogaerts is fine defensively, but it seems something worth exploring whether you are a better team with Elite Defensive SS plus whatever Xander fetches in trade or Xander at SS. Of course the two variables (who is this mysterious elite SS and what does he cost to acquire, and what can you get for Bogaerts?) are impossible to project so I'm just asking nonsense hypotheticals.
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Post by klostrophobic on Dec 11, 2014 12:30:37 GMT -5
Welcome back, Porcello. Sorry we traded Julio Lugo for you.
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Post by klostrophobic on Dec 11, 2014 12:29:02 GMT -5
What are your thoughts on the sudden transformation to this staff being so groundball-heavyy?
Spitballing, is it possible they trade Bogaerts and acquire a more defensively-apt SS until Marrero is ready (perhaps by season end).
All these quick acquisitions of pitchers makes it seem like Red Sox were not really interested in Lester much at all.
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Post by klostrophobic on Dec 11, 2014 12:17:17 GMT -5
This could also mean the Miley deal is dead.
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