SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
Recent Posts
|
Post by jchang on Jun 6, 2019 17:09:07 GMT -5
"4 Noah Song $406,600 (this one is especially cloudy)" how about Navy gray!
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Jun 4, 2019 13:43:50 GMT -5
Noah get 30 days leave per year. under the right circumstances, depending on where he is assigned, he could apply for leave M-F, charged 5 days, getting the adjacent weekends, doing this six times per year. I imagine he might spend one year in post-commission training, but the Navy has changed since 30 years ago. This was one reason cited in the 3 collisions a couple of years ago (inadequate training) If he can get duty near Greenville/Salem, he could play on weekends + occasional week days
|
|
|
Post by jchang on May 27, 2019 17:24:03 GMT -5
I insulted Leon earlier and he jacks a tater! Reason number 84 to never mind what I post. Keep on your talk if that’s what it takes to get Sandy going
|
|
|
Post by jchang on May 25, 2019 12:51:29 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by jchang on May 18, 2019 17:33:56 GMT -5
there is not going to be room for either traffic or parking anywhere in LA or other cities. For the Long Beach stadium to work, a new light rail would be needed, perhaps a coastal route connecting the other lines
|
|
|
Post by jchang on May 12, 2019 14:44:35 GMT -5
Brasier is warming so nevermind. Cora will stick him, even if he doesn't deserve it this year. This should be Thornburg time
|
|
|
Post by jchang on May 10, 2019 20:40:20 GMT -5
We haven’t quite given Erod the Josh Beckett standard of 12 runs + air tight defense, but we have one more inning
|
|
|
Post by jchang on May 6, 2019 13:37:23 GMT -5
while the overall show is great, their military advisor is total garbage. Last week, Dothraki, who are essentially light cavalry, should attack the perimeter, not charge into the center, and certainly not beyond support of infantry. Crassus made the same mistake at Carrhae. And now this week, with the dragon getting shot. The primary mission of aviation assets is reconnaissance (unless you believe the air force nut job jealots). What was she doing not paying attention to the surface?
|
|
|
Post by jchang on May 5, 2019 16:21:24 GMT -5
up by 7 and we send in our best RP? fire the coach!
|
|
|
Post by jchang on May 4, 2019 19:12:17 GMT -5
I go out for 5 min, and WTF!
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Apr 22, 2019 10:34:38 GMT -5
one sequence I liked was in season 6, ep 4. The khals are discussing Iggo and Akho (killed by Daario and Jorah). Khal Moro closes it with "Aggo belonged to my khalasar. He served me well. He got his head smashed in by a rock. Fuck Aggo."
however it was meant, that's what life was up until recently.
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Mar 26, 2019 16:20:26 GMT -5
so if Sandy ends up in Pawtucket, he will be the second highest paid player on the club?
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Mar 6, 2019 12:00:00 GMT -5
Thought it was interesting that fitbit measured that catcher as burning 4349 calories per day and they get a $25 per diem for food. I mean, $25 will get you over 85,000 calories worth of crisco from Amazon Fresh, so it's got to be all good, right? (The math is real; the post is a joke; pay the kids.) It is quite possible to buy sufficient food, quantity and quality, at the supermarket at $25 per day. However, 1) minor league players probably did not go to their team location with a full kitchen equipment set, 2) are not interested cooking for themselves, 3) road games. When I was young working age, I did target moderate priced all-you-can-eat places (and eating for the day in one meal). But, given the importance of nutrition in growing prospects, it might be a good idea for teams to arrange the proper mix of protein, etc. There was a basketball player (with New Orleans?) who had his personal nutritionist, but he had the big contract to afford this.
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Feb 19, 2019 14:45:41 GMT -5
Machado not going to MFY! I am tempted to say Padres are stupid on incurring a 10-year contract, at least the Yanks can afford it with their revenue stream.
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Jan 19, 2019 16:37:07 GMT -5
Plowed through the article and, just as you say, it's a must read. It covers a lot of the discussion we've had here and while I have a criticisms about some of it (see below) the bulk of it is right on. It's easy enough to synthesize the problem: the value proposition is in young players payed at obscene discount rates; the cost center is for older players payed at grossly inflated rates. Even David Price, who just had a good season, and an outstanding post-season, hasn't really been worth what he's been payed by the Sox over the last three years. That hasn't been lost on the ownership class. Once again as has happened many times in the past 100+ years, ownership is maximizing profit at the expense of the players, let alone the game. That asymmetry is at the heart of the exploitation that's emerged over the last two years. The players need to get out of the weeds and really take a big picture/long-term view of their best interests. Can they do that? And if so, how do they get fans on their side? It will take a really concerted effort on the part of the players to understand, plan for, and deal with the asymmetry. It is after all, baked right into the heart of the CBA. A few thoughts about how they can do that: - Stay away from individual salaries and instead ask the question of how much profit should be reserved for the players.
- Seek solidarity with the minor leaguers who are the bottom feeders in this ecosystem.
- Get the players to use their social media accounts for consistent messaging about the problem.
Two critiques of the article: The idea that the MLB Network is some sort of powerful PR machine needs to be taken with more than a grain of salt. The hacks who inhabit much of it, not all but much, can be pushed aside easily enough. The same restraint that keeps them from ever mentioning owernship's role in any way, is a flaw that will come home to haunt them if they reverse course when the conflict starts. The MLBPA can hammer away at their sham objectivity and do damage to that "profit center" with social media as the vehicle. The biggest flaw in the argument is hiding in plain sight, though few have put 2+2 together at this point and come up with the right answer. Has anyone thought seriously about the jarring disconnect between the idea that fans are staying away from the parks at the same time that MLB profits have been climbing for years? It's the same trend that we're seeing across the of entertainment spectrum. Netflix is even exploiting it. They are releasing first run movies for just a few weeks in theaters before pulling them for their broadband TV viewers. Hollywood has belatedly come to realize that their mealticket, and their lunch, is being stolen. Buzz gets built up, and then eyeballs are led away from those theaters, the bread-and-butter of the older movie industry. The difference with MLB? They own it all, the older venues - the parks - and the new cyber-venue the large share of MLBAM they still hold. Now they even have Disney to do the promo work for them. People aren't going to the park as often because they can be one of those potential 60 million who can stream games, all of them, over broadband. That's where the money will increasingly be. Those who've read the links that were posted about BAM and where it's headed might ponder the question that been asked in those pieces, about whether baseball owners have pushed their teams lower down on the asset spectrum and what that means for the players going forward. It's going to take a real confrontation, and probably an ugly one, to deal with this transformation. Networked computing power has upended every business it's touched. It's touching baseball now and guess what? I don't think the players union has a leg to stand on. Owners (of big market teams) are not afraid to pay for performance with reasonable tolerance for risk. What's not happening now is the long term boat anchor contracts. If Harper or Machado asked for $30M/yr for 2-3 yrs, I'm sure a few teams will bite, but not for 7-10 years. Pujols, whose track record in STL was as bankable as it gets, then becomes erratic in LA, net average of a good player, but far below what the Angels are on the hook for. Meaning the Angels will be unlikely to build a great team around Trout. The other issue is the revenue disparity between small and big market teams. Some redistribution exists? but I understand the big market team owners are not happy about what the small market teams do with the money. Something like the NFL, in which the league pays bonuses to youngers players. Or perhaps defraying minor league player salaries, but teams must still pay the signing bonuses?
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Jan 14, 2019 20:08:18 GMT -5
I think I'd feel better if the Sox had more (any) guys that could project to be more of a #2/#3 type starter than backend starter/reliever. It does seem peculiar that we have scored big on several position prospects, both through draft and Int, but not with pitching. Normally, a clear cut #2 pitcher does last past the top 10 or so in the draft, and we missed in our few chances when drafting high. Even so, with a $200M roster, we can have 5-6 free agents in the 20-30M range, which is sufficient to cover the 1-3 starters + 2 premium position players.
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Jan 14, 2019 3:54:31 GMT -5
Wouldn’t Pom make this list based on his good 16 and 17 numbers?
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Jan 13, 2019 7:03:16 GMT -5
I don’t have an issue with players earning what they are worth, but I don’t think it’s good for the game when a player with a proven track record flops after signing a long term deal. I would be happy if this offseason starts a trend of fewer long term deals, or less guaranteed money
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Jan 12, 2019 23:17:33 GMT -5
At this point, I would offer Kimbrel 3/42-45 with player opt out each year, giving him the opportunity to find a big payday each of the next two years
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Dec 6, 2018 13:15:14 GMT -5
awesome, now get Kelly
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Nov 19, 2018 15:18:15 GMT -5
I would favor a Lackey type deal, 4 yrs + team option if he injured
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Oct 31, 2018 21:35:04 GMT -5
I don’t see how JBJ will be more expensive than his replacement So why replace him unless we can get an all star But we really need that money for good pitchers
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Oct 31, 2018 11:13:54 GMT -5
... but again, the puzzle is why so few bought into that, when it was argued for with very straightforward facts.
There is a low opinion of any pitcher less than a clear league wide #1
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Oct 30, 2018 14:47:51 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by jchang on Oct 30, 2018 13:27:58 GMT -5
I don’t fully agree with this. Yeah, I think the weakness of the bullpen was somewhat overstated, but at the same time, the performance that they ultimately delivered was above and beyond any reasonable expectation. Like no one before hand was saying “the Red Sox bullpen is fine because Joe Kelly is about to go on the run of his life”, and he was hardly the only example there. What we saw from the bullpen was not something you could ever anticipate nor is it something you can replicate. And it’s pure hindsight to look at it now and believe it could have happened no other way. It's absolutely true that the bullpen was way better than anyone expected, but that's part of the reason why we went 11-3 against the toughest trio of playoff opponents any team has ever beaten, instead of, say, 11-5. You're not just moving the goalposts here, you're moving them to Saskatchewan. You'd have an argument here if Joe Kelly has saved an elimination game, or pitched out of an inherited runner situation in the 8th inning of a 1-run elimination game, or so on. But Kelly was actually the least valuable player on the entire team in the ALCS, by Win Probability Added. And how'd we do? In general, if you argue that "X may be so bad that it will cost us," and X turns out to be significantly better than average, then you begin to have a hard time showing you were correct. The better the actual results turn out to be, the harder it becomes to justify the concern as having been warranted. When the result is terrific, you need a heck of a lot of data points saying that things broke hugely better than they expected.
Joe Kelly in the regular season averaged .015 WPA per appearance. In the postseason, he averaged .024. What folks don't realize is that one reliever being 60% better than expected doesn't have a huge impact over 9 outings. He was worth less than a tenth of a win more than expected; if you round up, he allowed 1 fewer run. That he avoided giving us a heart attack by not pitching himself into and out of trouble does not actually affect the end results.
Our bullpen was weak in depth of regular season RPs, with only Kelly, Kimbrel and Barnes having more than 2IP in the WS, but that was OK because SP Eovaldi, Erod and other starters filled in the rest. Of the 11 roster spots occupied by pitchers, Pom did not appear, and 2 contributed 2.2 IP combined In ALCS, Brasier also contributed 4.2, with 3+ IP from 8 of the 11 pitchers in DS, 10 of the pitchers put in 2+ IP Assuming we have 5 good regular season SP, we might like to have 5 RP who we can use in the playoffs + 1 for lost cause inning eater (this was Pomeranz, but we didn't give him the opportunity) If we had Wright, then we would have had enough For 2019, assuming we can resign Kelly, probably lose Kimbrel we can hope that two (or three) of the inactive pitchers become good enough for playoff and WS situations
|
|
|